Belarusians regained confidence in national currency deposits
According to the National Bank, in July 2014, despite lower deposit rates, fixed-term deposits in the national currency grew by BYR 197.5 bln – the largest increase since early 2014.
Rouble fixed-term deposits will still be more attractive than currency ones due to the National Bank’s predictable policy regarding the depreciation of the Belarusian ruble against the US Dollar. Banks’ currency deposits will increase only due to interest capitalisation. Individuals will continue selling their currency savings (net supply will persist). If the Government decides to issue foreign currency government bonds at 6.5-7% per annum, they might be in demand by the population.
President Lukashenka has met with the head of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov, who visited Minsk and the Minsk Automobile Plant. Minsk has always sought to have independent links with Russian regional elites, partially, to compensate for the Kremlin's diminishing interest in Belarus. In recent years, Belarus’ contacts with the Russian regions have been extremely intense. However, with some leaders of Russian regions, primarily heads of large republics, communication was more difficult to build. As many analysts in Minsk suggested, Minsk could regard contacts between President Lukashenka and the head of Chechnya as an additional communication channel for relieving tension in relations with the Kremlin. However, most likely, a trusting relationship with Kadyrov is a value for Minsk as such, provided Kadyrov’s broad business and political interests, and a high degree of autonomy for the Chechen leader from the Kremlin.