Opposition to identify strategies for 2015 presidential elections

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April 22, 2016 18:48

The opposition has resumed negotiations to nominate a single candidate in the 2015 presidential elections.

However, now they lack a clear vision of how to transform the Belarusian regime. Influenced by the events in Ukraine, the opposition started revising the ‘Belarusian maidan’ scenario and feasibility of mass protests on the Election Day. The probability of the opposition choosing a single candidate for the 2015 presidential election is decreasing, as pessimism about the regime change in 2015 among the opposition grows. The number of potential presidential candidates in 2015 will depend on their ability to attract the necessary financial and human resources.

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According to Belstat, in August 7,600 people were dismissed, including 4,800 civil servants. Dismissals of civil servants were due to the optimisation in the public administration by up to 30%. Some civil servants would retain their job however would lose the status of a civil servant. Vacancies on the labour market are likely to reduce in number, thanks to the optimisation, the state administration would increase wages for public servants. The payroll fund for retained employees is likely to increase and some former state employees are likely to get jobs in affiliated organizations. The optimisation of the state apparatus should complete by January 1st, 2018, and some former civil servants are likely to join the ranks of the unemployed.